America – armed to the teeth, but unable to win wars. Part 1 of 2

From Tomgram:

The United States remains by far the world’s leading proliferator of conventional arms, accounting for some 50% of all global sales and 48% of all sales to the developing world. During the 2011-2014 period alone, U.S. weapons deliveries included a wide array of advanced weapons technologies: 104 tanks and self-propelled guns, 230 artillery pieces, 419 armored personnel vehicles, 48 supersonic aircraft and 58 other aircraft, 835 surface-to-air missiles, and 144 anti-ship missiles, much of that to the volatile Middle East. Skeptics would say that such transactions are motivated less by an urge to enable recipient countries to defend themselves than by the desire to buy influence abroad while aiding and abetting arms manufacturers at home. The result of such massive sales is, of course, the creation of yet more instability where stability should be.

Garrisoning the planet: The military maintains up to 800 bases in more than 70 countries and stations more than 200,000 active-duty personnel in some 150 countries. This global presence represents the geostrategic equivalent of Parkinson’s law: operational and social entanglements expanding exponentially to fill the space created by these far-flung outposts.

The nuclear black hole: The military remains the permanent keeper and executor of the world’s largest nuclear arsenal: an estimated 4,700 nuclear warheads on some 800 delivery systems, as well as another 2,340 “retired” but still intact and presumably usable warheads. A three-decade, trillion-dollar upgrade of this already monstrous arsenal is now underway. The Economist has called this Washington’s “unkicked addiction.” It should be clear, but apparently isn’t, that these are weapons of disuse. Other than for destroying the planet if used, their only value is as a measure of muscularity against mirror-image peers. They deter nothing at other levels of muscle-flexing but do feed an insatiable thirst for emulation among jealous non-possessors of such weaponry.  (by Gregory D. Foster is a professor at the National Defense University in Washington, D.C., a West Point graduate, and a decorated veteran of the Vietnam War.)

And yet the United States seems unable to win a war, and any success against, for instance ISIS, comes at the cost of untold devastation of ancient cities and displacement of huge number of people.  Trump says he “ain’t gonna do nation building”, so these people are on their own, unless they can find their way to Europe. What is the point in these military empires?  At least the British brought with them a common language, railways, education and orderly government, even if sometimes corrupt.  No, the United States has many good things to its name, but as a hegemon it hasn’t a clue, and is wasting treasure while the country, its environment, infrastructure and education itself ( to name a few things) are falling to pieces.

Ithaca

As you set out for Ithaka
hope your road is a long one,
full of adventure, full of discovery.
Laistrygonians, Cyclops,
angry Poseidon—don’t be afraid of them:
you’ll never find things like that on your way
as long as you keep your thoughts raised high,
as long as a rare excitement
stirs your spirit and your body.
Laistrygonians, Cyclops,
wild Poseidon—you won’t encounter them
unless you bring them along inside your soul,
unless your soul sets them up in front of you.

Hope your road is a long one.
May there be many summer mornings when,
with what pleasure, what joy,
you enter harbors you’re seeing for the first time;
may you stop at Phoenician trading stations
to buy fine things,
mother of pearl and coral, amber and ebony,
sensual perfume of every kind—
as many sensual perfumes as you can;
and may you visit many Egyptian cities
to learn and go on learning from their scholars.

Keep Ithaka always in your mind.
Arriving there is what you’re destined for.
But don’t hurry the journey at all.
Better if it lasts for years,
so you’re old by the time you reach the island,
wealthy with all you’ve gained on the way,
not expecting Ithaka to make you rich.

Ithaka gave you the marvelous journey.
Without her you wouldn’t have set out.
She has nothing left to give you now.

And if you find her poor, Ithaka won’t have fooled you.
Wise as you will have become, so full of experience,
you’ll have understood by then what these Ithakas mean.

(C. P. Cavafy, “The City” from C.P. Cavafy: Collected Poems. Translated by Edmund Keeley and Philip Sherrard. Translation Copyright © 1975, 1992 by Edmund Keeley and Philip Sherrard. Reproduced with permission of Princeton University Press.) Source: C.P. Cavafy: Collected Poems (Princeton University Press, 1975)

Hope, expectation, objectives in life, enjoying life’s journey.  Cafafy was Greek, like Epicurus.  Epicurus would nod and totally agree with the sentiments of this wonderful poem.  Unfortunately, all too many people have nothing in their lives, no dreams, no objectives , nothing fulfilling that offers the excitement of a consuming activity.  They have no journey, no vivid experiences, no passing triumphs or even tragedies .  Nor do they have anything pleasurable, no Ithika,  to look back on.  Would that all the aggrieved and unhappy people in the world could have an objective that  excites them.

Epicurus and Judaism

Yet another of my modern philosophy posts. This completes my take on the three main monotheisms. You can read my views on Islam here http://hanrott.com/blog/epicurus-and-islam/, and on Christianity here http://hanrott.com/blog/epicurus-and-christianity/. 

Out of the three Abrahamic monotheisms, Judaism is perhaps the most unique. Unlike Christianity and Islam, it does not aspire to convert large portions of the world to its beliefs. As a result, the Jewish people are an ethnoreligious group. Due to its small size, Judaism has never established a continental sphere of influence, the way Christianity did in Europe or Islam did in the Middle East and North Africa. Moreover, Jews have been subject to extreme discrimination throughout history, unlike Christians and Muslims who have only suffered discrimination periodically. There has been no equivalent for the Holocaust for Christians or Muslims. This is despite Judaism being by far the least threatening of the these three religions.

Theologically speaking, my critiques of Christianity and Islam also apply to Judaism. The notion of submission to a divine being whose nature we cannot discover except for by reading ancient texts is one I find troubling. Like Christianity and Islam, Judaism generally promotes social conservatism, though its liberal denominations are more prominent than either of the other two. But because Jews don’t proselytise, I don’t view Judaism as a threat to liberal values or secular government the way the conservative branches of Christianity and Islam are. For the most part, Jews simply want to be free to practice their religion, which is a fundamental right for everyone.

Having said that, in Israel, the rapid growth of Haredi Judaism is a concern. The Haredi do not integrate with wider Israeli society, preferring to live on their own. They have very low labour force participation rates, often preferring to study the Torah- putting pressure on Israel’s generous welfare state. They are largely exempt from national service, which is resented by secular Israelis who understandably believe that if the Haredi benefit from a secure Israel, they should contribute to it. They also have exceptionally high birth rates, which not only puts pressure on housing in a densely populated country, but it will make Israeli culture more conservative in the future. Wider Orthodox Judaism doesn’t necessarily have these issues. But the Orthodox do tend to vote for some right wing parties, who may make peace with the Palestinians less likely.

The tendency for the more religious Jews to have more children is a worldwide trend, not just in Israel. As a result, global Judaism and Jewish identity will be considerably more socially conservative and distinct. As the West grows more liberal and secular, Jews living outside Israel will become more conspicuous. Religious Jews outside Israel may feel alienated from a wider society that does not share their values. If they stay in their home country, they may be unhappy and feel like non-Jews don’t understand them. If they move to Israel, they will add to the country’s increasing conservatism. The size of Jewish settlements in the West Bank and East Jerusalem will have to grow, much to the frustration of the Palestinians and the international community. Outside Israel, the increasing religiosity of the world’s Jews may cause anti-Semitic discrimination to rise. The far right may see a culturally distinct Jewish minority as a threat to the nation’s character, in a similar fashion to their view of Islam now. The far left may be suspicious of the fact that most religious Jews are pro-Israel and tend to vote for conservative parties- orthodox Jews in America are overwhelmingly Republican.

Overall I’m hopeful for the future of Judaism and I wish the world’s Jews the best of luck. Unlike Netanyahu, I don’t believe that Europe is irredeemably anti-Semitic. For the most part, the West will continue to welcome the cultural and economic contributions of its Jewish community. The West will also continue to engage with Israel, not isolating itself from them. But there are significant challenges ahead. Israel’s population, economy and global influence will continue to rise, which will enrage much of the Arab world and the European far left. The need for a peaceful solution to the Arab-Israeli conflict will become more urgent. As Jews living in the West become more distinct, it’s important we teach the next generation tolerance and understanding. Provided we can overcome these challenges, the future of the world’s Jews is very bright. They make a disproportionate contribution to the arts, science, industry and technology, and will almost certainly continue to do so.

 

Best of the Week #13 The unwinnable war

Trump won the 2016 Republican Primary for a myriad of reasons, some of which I’ve looked at here http://hanrott.com/blog/how-the-republicans-should-respond-to-trump/. But a crucial factor was the fact that he distinguished himself from other Republicans. Partly through his straight-talking manner. Partly through his support for entitlements, in contrast to a Republican establishment that wants to reduce them. Partly due to his opposition to free trade. But the most significant different between Trump and the his opponents was that Trump presented himself as a realist in regards to foreign policy. He eviscerated the other candidates for their support for the Iraq War, Jeb Bush especially. He wasn’t a non-interventionist per se, promising to ‘bomb the shit out of ISIS.’ But he vowed to put the national interest first, not spend billions of American dollars on fruitless foreign adventures.

It’s long been obvious that the war in Afghanistan can’t be won, simply because as soon as America withdraws, there’s nothing to guarantee the country won’t be taken over by the Taliban because they enjoy protection in Pakistan. Laurel Miller, who was until recently America’s leading diplomat in Afghanistan and Pakistan, agrees. Her explanation can be read in this excellent interview with Vox’s Sean Illing https://www.vox.com/world/2017/8/1/16049272/afghanistan-war-donald-trump-mattis-military. Yet Trump has backtracked on his past support for a realist foreign policy. As Miller points out, his new Afghanistan policy is little different from the neoconservatism/liberal internationalism that has defined America’s approach since the war started in 2001.

Trump’s u-turn on Afghanistan is yet another example of how his presidency is a complete failure, even on his own terms. The typical Trump voter wanted: proper job security, a substantial increase in the number of manufacturing and energy jobs, the repeal of Obamacare with ‘something ‘fantastic’, an America-first foreign policy and a considerable reduction in immigration. So far, none of those things have happened, or even are likely to happen between now and 2020. So what was the point in voting for Trump? Perhaps only the certainty that a Hillary Clinton presidency would be a continuation of the status quo. If neither Trump nor Hillary Clinton were serious about reforming a badly divided and indebted country, then American politics is truly broken.

 

Mass overstaying of study visas exploded as myth

While Theresa May was Home Secretary the Home office put out a statistic that claimed that 100,000 foreign students a year stayed on illegally after their visas expired.  This “fact” was used by the Brexiteers in their campaign as proof of uncontrolled immigration. But new data from the Office of National Statistics says there were only 4,600 last year. proving that foreign students constitute a much smaller risk of overstaying their visas than the government has contended.  “We spent five years trying to persuade the Home Office that the figures they were using as evidence were bogus,” said the Lib Dem leader, Vince Cable, who was part of the coalition under David Cameron. “But they persisted nonetheless on the basis of these phoney numbers.”

The data from the ONS also shows net migration has fallen to its lowest level for three years, partly driven by a “Brexodus” of EU workers. Departure of EU citizens increased by 33,000 year on year to 122,000 – the highest outflow for nearly a decade. The latest yearly migration figure stands at 246,000, which is 81,000 lower than the 327,000 recorded up to March 2016.  (The Guardian, August 25th).

British universities have expanded so much that their business priority is to now recruit as many students as possible, from home and overseas, for economic reasons.  We see the same process in the UK as in the US. –  large sums are spent on dorms, social and sporting facilities to attract students, but teaching quality doesn’t necessarily improve, only the income of the top administrators.  Then anecdotally,  large numbers of , say Chinese, students may improve the economics, but the larger the number the more they socialise together, don’t speak English, and return home none the wiser, except they have probably irritated other students with their clannishness.  Good for the balance of payments, but do these foreign students learn much about Britain, do they learn much at all?  Is their English good?  Is their any point? Mmmmmh.  The bursting of the higher education bubble, long expected, might be nigh.

Moderating the growth in population

From Moira Macdonald, Exeter, Devon, UK

Daniel Cossins asks whether “we” should impose population controls (8 July, p 34). But it has been obvious since effective contraception and safe abortion became available that it is men worldwide who are at the controls.

Evidence exists that, given affordable access to the means of regulating their fertility, women do their best to avoid having more babies than they anticipate being able to raise successfully. That there are so many of us on the planet is because men maintain social structures in which safe abortion is restricted, banned or unavailable and where access to contraception costs too much, is forbidden or is still unavailable – China excepted.

Birth control is indeed a massive human rights issue – the problem is the denial of women’s human rights. The solution is not to start, but to stop imposing the current controls. Free each woman to be the sole decision-maker over her own body. Give her access to safe, affordable means to regulate her fertility, to get an abortion if and as soon as she needs one. Then watch the global birth rate plummet.(New Scientist)

As a male myself I cannot understand why men insist on running everything. Interfering with the right of women to decide on the number of babies, if any,  they have is a good example.  (the Christian Right in America, Hindus in India, Moslems everywhere, all dominated by men, please especially  note).

Personally, I find all the women I know are smarter than me. This being the case, I would like to retire to bed with a large box of dark chocolates and let them get on with running the world.   May Ms. Moira Macdonald, who wrote the above letter and is clearly of good, practical Scottish ancestry, be one of the first candidates, along with my wife and nearly all our female friends. Carry on, ladies.  Us guys seem to have messed up.

Don’t kid yourself – the American civil war was about slavery!

A member of the Society of the Friends of Epicurus has the following to say about the Robert E. Lee monument that served as a lightning rod for recent Charlottesville violence:

“To everyone who is claiming that the secession and Civil War wasn’t about slavery, the following speech was given by the VP of the Confederacy, Alexander H. Stephens of Georgia, who served under President Jefferson Davis of Mississippi from February 18, 1861 to May 11, 1865. The speech was delivered three weeks after Lincoln was elected and three weeks before the first shots of the war:

“The new Constitution has put at rest forever all the agitating questions relating to our peculiar institutions—African slavery as it exists among us—the proper status of the negro in our form of civilization. This was the immediate cause of the late rupture and present revolution. Jefferson, in his forecast, had anticipated this, as the “rock upon which the old Union would split.” He was right. What was conjecture with him, is now a realized fact. But whether he fully comprehended the great truth upon which that rock stood and stands, may be doubted. The prevailing ideas entertained by him and most of the leading statesmen at the time of the formation of the old Constitution were, that the enslavement of the African was in violation of the laws of nature; that it was wrong in principle, socially, morally and politically. It was an evil they knew not well how to deal with; but the general opinion of the men of that day was, that, somehow or other, in the order of Providence, the institution would be evanescent and pass away…

Those ideas, however, were fundamentally wrong. They rested upon the assumption of the equality of races. This was an error. It was a sandy foundation, and the idea of a Government built upon it—when the “storm came and the wind blew, it fell.”

Our new government is founded upon exactly the opposite ideas; its foundations are laid, its cornerstone rests, upon the great truth that the negro is not equal to the white man; that slavery, subordination to the superior race, is his natural and normal condition. This, our new government, is the first, in the history of the world, based upon this great physical, philosophical, and moral truth.”

For some mentally embattled people things never do change.  Epicurus, on the other hand, believed in treating everyone equally.  So do all decent, fair-minded people today.

Illegal plunder : moving towards a police State

America’s civil asset forfeiture laws, another product of law enforcement’s failed war on drugs, were originally designed to deprive suspected drug dealers of the spoils of their illicit trade — houses, cars, boats.  The law now regularly deprives people unconnected to the war on drugs of their property without due process of law and in violation of the Fifth and Fourteenth Amendments. Not surprisingly, corruption follows.

Federal and state police can keep property seized or sell it and retain a portion of the revenue generated. Some of this, in turn, can be repurposed and distributed as bonuses in police and other law enforcement departments. The only way the dispossessed stand a chance of getting such “forfeited” property back is if they are willing to take on the authorities in a process where the deck is stacked against them.  In such cases, for instance, property owners have no right to an attorney to defend themselves,  which means that they must either find additional cash for a lawyer or contest the seizure themselves in court. “It is an upside-down world where,” says the libertarian Institute for Justice, “the government holds all the cards and has the financial incentive to play them to the hilt.” (Note from editor: this is typical right-wing anti-government rhetoric. It isn’t the ” government” pocketing the cash, but rogue policemen!)

Civil asset forfeiture has mutated into what’s now called “for-profit policing” in which police departments and state and federal law enforcement agencies indiscriminately seize the property of citizens who aren’t drug kingpins. Sometimes, for instance, distinctly ordinary citizens suspected of driving drunk or soliciting prostitutes get their cars confiscated. Sometimes they simply get cash taken from them on suspicion of low-level drug dealing.

All this is justified by telling the public that the police are giving the proceeds of sales to schools , old people’s homes and charities.  Unfortunately, the police are in general reluctant to specify what they have given and to whom. Militarised, and with a laager mentality, they are unaccountable in most jurisdictions and have become so reliant on civil asset forfeiture to pad their budgets and acquire “little goodies” that reforming, much less repealing, such laws  is a tough sell.

The previous posting (by Owen Bell) has a comment by me about the deep divisions among American citizens. This, above, simply outlines one of the problems – police unaccountability and the quiet support of it by most Republican politicians, who dominate most State legislatures –  another brickfalling out of the wall.

Epicurus and the Alt-Right

This post marks the return of my  Modern Philosophy series, in which I talk about the most prominent ideas facing the modern world from an Epicurean perspective. After this post, I have at least three more Modern Philosophies to cover, which I’ll be writing on weekly instead of fortnightly, so look out for that! 

After World War 2, it was assumed that far right ideology and its racist underpinnings had lost all credibility. The Holocaust had exposed the horrific consequences of such thinking. The philosophical roots of Nazism- anti-Semitism, social Darwinism and extreme nationalism- had all lost any merit in the eyes of the world. While authoritarian regimes continued to exist, such as Francoist Spain, they became increasingly isolated. The world became divided between the liberal capitalist West and the Communist countries. Following the fall of the Berlin wall, the latter too had lost respectability, leading to the liberal international order we see today.

However, there is a radical movement in the United States that regrets the dominance of liberal internationalism worldwide. Like Plato, they believe democracy is inherently flawed because it leads to mob rule. In Platonic terms, they want government by autocratic philosopher-kings. They draw inspiration from the writings of Nietzsche in their rejection of our society’s norms of morality and their embrace of post-modernism. For the most part, they reject Christian teachings of altruism and the believe in the equality of all men before God. But they defend Christianity insofar as they see it as a key component of Western civilisation, which they contrast with the inferior cultures of the non-Western world, particularly the Islamic world. They also reject Jewish culture for being non-Western. In terms of policy, they want the creation of an ethno-state, with an almost exclusively non-Hispanic white population. This movement has come to be known as the Alt-Right- a loose coalition of Trump supporters, internet trolls, neo-Confederates, neo-Nazis and KKK members. As ideologically diverse as they may seem, they are all united in their rejection of mainstream conservatism for capitulating to the notion of America as a diverse and pluralistic nation.

A week ago in Charlottesville, Virginia, Alt-Right protestors gathered to demonstrate against the removal of statutes of generals who had fought for the Confederacy. In theory, this should have been uncontroversial. A plurality of Americans support keeping Confederate-era statues as part of remembering the past. But the Alt-Right used the occasion not only to demonstrate the removal of their statues, but to publicise themselves and their radical beliefs.  Confederate flags, swastikas and KKK-style white hoods were on full display. Phrases like ‘Jews will not replace us’ and ‘white lives matter’ were chanted. The protest soon became violent due to clashes with counter-demonstrators. A car drove into the counter-demonstrators, killing one person and injuring at least 19 others. At first, Trump’s response was equivocal, condemning violence on both sides, but he later condemned the far-right extremists explicitly. Nevertheless, his response was praised by the Alt Right, including outspoken Klansman David Duke.

It goes without saying that the Alt-Right’s values are totally incompatible with Epicurean notions of equality and justice. But it would be a grave mistake to condemn the Alt-Right as if it exists in isolation. The truth is that although ultimate responsibility for the Alt-Right’s existence lies with its members, mainstream America has made choices that have contributed to the rise of right wing extremism in what is meant to be a post-fascist world order.

Republicans have been far too tolerant of right wing extremism, even if they aren’t extremists themselves. Conspiracy theories like Obama not being American have been allowed to fester. Anti immigration rhetoric hasn’t been rebuked sharply enough in conservative circles.  Too many conservatives believe that ethnic minorities are responsible for their own problems. They don’t accept there are actions the government and society can take to improve things for them. It’s this kind of neglect, along with the underlying belief that racism isn’t much of a problem anymore, that has contributed to the rise of the Alt-Right. Many conservatives believe that white people are just as discriminated against as blacks. The route from white victimhood to overt racism is a short one.

Democrats are nowhere near as much to blame for the Alt-Right as Republicans, but they aren’t guiltless either. By creating a culture of political correctness, and by not making the case for liberal values properly, the Left has created a demand for a reactionary anti-liberalism. If you create a taboo, some people will inevitably want to break it. At some universities, discussing any potential drawback of immigration and/or multiculturalism is viewed as racist. Social conservatives, feeling alienated from mainstream society, may become radicalised online. As a society we should debate matters more openly, instead of shutting people down all the time.

The socialist belief in the Alt-Right as a byproduct of capitalism’s failings is a very shaky one in my view. Members of the Alt-Right are no more likely to be poor than anyone else; in fact because they are white, they are more likely to be rich. They are no more likely to be unemployed or face any other hardships. The Alt-Right are not the result of capitalism or neoliberalism. Rather, their appeals primarily comes from a disillusionment with the broadly liberal consensus that has dominated politics across the developed world since World War 2. Having said that, it’s vital that we do not compromise on our values in order to appease the Alt-Right, in the hope that by becoming slightly less liberal, they will go away. If we give them an inch, they will take a foot. The Alt-Right will only be defeated by making the strongest possible case for a free society. We have to defend our record, not run away from it.

To end on a positive note, the Alt-Right may be frightening, but they only command the support of a tiny minority of Americans. Casual prejudice is all too common in the world, America included. But very few Americans want an ethno-state, believe that whites ought to have de jure superiority over non-whites, or view Nazism with anything other than total disgust. Thankfully, anti-Semitism is increasingly rare.  Just like with Islamic terrorists, the Alt-Right will only win if we lose our nerve. Epicurus may have advised not participating in politics, but a defence of basic human rights is needed now more than ever.

How big international companies escape public scrutiny

Accenture Consulting is an example of how big companies are shedding national identities and becoming unaccountable. Originally, Anderson Consulting, Acenture is now domiciled in Ireland (low tax), and has a series of loosely connected regional hubs, such as Prague and Dubai that also have low tax rates. To avoid residency problems for its 373,000 employees operating in 200 cities and 55 countries, it ensures that no one spends too much time at their project sites. Accenture is organised to be effectively stateless. It is paid to improve company efficiency (or tell feckless management what they dare not decide on its own), but could ‘t care less about communities and ordinary people.

ExxonMobil, Unilever, BlackRock, HSBC, DHL, Visa, all choose locations for personnel, factories, executive suites, or bank accounts based on where regulations are friendly, resources abundant, and connectivity seamless. Big corporations often have legal domicile in one country, corporate management in another, financial assets in a third, and administrative staff spread over several more. Large American firms — GE, IBM, Microsoft, to name a few — are  collectively holding trillions of dollars tax-free offshore in companies incorporated in Switzerland, Luxembourg, the Cayman Islands.

Corporations are likely to overtake states in terms of clout, complete with their “stateless income”. Already, the cash that Apple has on hand exceeds the GDPs of two-thirds of the world’s countries. The 10 biggest banks still control almost 50 percent of assets under management worldwide. Meanwhile, the EU is pushing for a common tax-base policy among member states to prevent corporations from taking advantage of preferential rates. In which case firms would just look beyond the continent for metanational opportunities. Indeed, since social communities increasingly exist online, businesses and their operations might move entirely into the cloud and make nations effectively irrelevant. Already, the idea of taxing a multi-national corporation based on its headquarters’ location is painfully antiquated.

The world’s 25 biggest companies by sales

Walmart 486 bn (2015)
Exxon Mobil 269 bn
Shell 265 bn
Apple 234 bn
Glencore 221 bn (2014)
Samsung 163 bn (2015)
Amazon 107 bn
Microsoft 94 bn
Nestle 93 bn (2014)
Alphabet 75 bn (2015)
Uber 62 bn
Huawei Tech 60 bn
Vodaphone 60 bn
Anheuser- Busch 47 bn (2014)
Maersk 40 bn (2015)
Goldman Sachs 34 bn
Halliburton 33 bn (2014)
Accenture 31 bn (2015)
McDonalds 25 bn
Emirates Airlines 24 bn
Facebook 18 bn
Alibaba 12 bn
Blackrock 11 bn (2014)
McKinsey 8 bn
Twitter 2 bn (2015)

 

Best of the Week #12 Emmanuel Macron in perspective

Before the most recent French elections, I recommended that French people vote for Emmanuel Macron in what was my first ever post for this blog http://hanrott.com/blog/why-epicurean-frenchmen-should-vote-for-macron/. Having won the election by a greater than expected margin, I thought I would examine how his presidency has gone so far. I should start by saying that I do not regret endorsing him. Governing France, a divided country with a cynical and hypercritical electorate, is a thankless task. I view Macron’s recent declining approval ratings as inevitable, because any attempt at meaningful reform is bound to be opposed by someone.

This week’s article comes from Nabila Ramdani in the Independent. http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/emmanuel-macron-france-french-president-politics-first-100-days-scandal-2024-olympics-a7893926.html. She argues that Macron is fulfilling the promises he made during his campaign. For instance, he is pushing ahead with reforms to the labour market despite opposition from unions, and the increasingly likely prospect of mass strikes in September. This is because France’s unemployment rate remain stubbornly high, caused partly by strict regulations that keep people in their jobs, which makes employers less inclined to take on new staff. Macron wants to adopt the Nordic ‘flexicurity’ model, where employers have freedom to hire and fire who they want, but reasonable unemployment benefits prevent the temporarily jobless from falling into poverty. However, the French left view Macron’s reforms as free market fundamentalism; for the left, job security is a privilege that cannot be compensated for by the welfare state.

The French right is also becoming dissatisfied with Macron. He wants to cut France’s military budget, which as a proportion of GDP is amongst the highest in Europe. The fact is, spending on conventional weapons and vehicles does very little to keep a country secure in the modern age. For far less money, investment could be made in cybersecurity and intelligence, which would do far more to prevent terrorism. But many conservatives regard having  a sizeable armed force as both a strategic advantage and a part of the country’s greatness as a key player in world affairs. The military aside, Macron is too pro-European for some conservatives. Unlike liberal politicians in Britain, Macron makes the positive emotional case for the EU, rather than simply talking about the adverse consequences of European disintegration. During a time of poor economic growth across Europe, making such a case is commendable. It’s important the nations of Europe don’t retreat into the parochial nationalism of the past. And despite Europe’s economy not doing especially well at the moment, EU disintegration would only make the continent even poorer than it already is. If companies who want to do business across the EU have to comply with 27 different regulatory codes instead of just 1, they will face a crippling amount of bureaucracy.

Overall Macron’s presidency has been far from perfect. Like Ramdani, I really didn’t appreciate his comments about Africa having civilisational problems, even though he’s right about some African countries’ high birth rates holding them back. Sometimes he comes across a bit too showy, and could take himself more seriously. I’m very Northern European- I like my politicians boring. Although I approve of Macron standing up to Putin and proposing a diplomatic solution in Syria, I wish he were more critical of Trump. His most controversial comments have been regarding the Euro: he wants a Eurozone budget. It’s understandable that he wants to help poorer Eurozone countries like Spain and Greece, while maintaining the benefits of currency union. But Germany and other rich Eurozone countries would lose out from such a proposal, so it’s hard to see it coming to fruition.

But overall, like Ramdani, I think he’s done a pretty decent job considering the circumstances. So far, he’s successfully struck a balance between support for the free market while protecting social insurance. He’s stood up for gay people, refugees and asylum seekers- even promising to ease immigration restrictions for American scientists who feel disillusioned with Trump. On the world stage, he’s far more respectable than Sarkozy, and certainly more charismatic than Hollande. He isn’t belligerent, rash or petty. He is far better than any of his rivals would have been. I would recommend that whatever personal reservations they have about him, the French should give him the benefit of the doubt until the end of his term. If by then he has been an absolute failure and there is an obvious replacement candidate, then he should go. But given the generally sleazy and corrupt nature of French politics, it’s hard to see that happening. Macron has been both a safe pair of hands and a committed reformer. We can only hope he continues to be.

Are cellphones damaging our collective posture?

The next time you reach for your phone, remember that it induces slouching, and slouching changes your mood, your memory and even your behaviour.

The average head weighs about 10 to 12 pounds. When we bend our necks forward 60 degrees, as we do to use our cellphones, the effective stress on our neck increases to 60 pounds — the weight of about five gallons of paint. What appears to be happening is that young people are developing postures similar to little old ladies with osteoporosis –  all bent over.

Studies have shown that depressed patients were more likely to stand with their necks bent forward, shoulders collapsed and arms drawn in toward the body.  Further research suggest that posture doesn’t just reflect our emotional states; it can also cause them. Compared with upright sitters, slouchers reported significantly lower self-esteem and mood, and much greater fear.

Slouching can also affect our memory and our productivity.  In  a 2009 study of Japanese schoolchildren, those who were trained to sit with upright posture were more productive than their classmates in writing assignments.  Some people think that the slouchy, collapsed position we take when using our phones actually makes us less assertive, and that there appears to be a linear relationship between the size of your i- phone, i- pad, laptop or desktop, and the extent to which it affects you: the smaller the device, the more you must contract your body to use it, and the more shrunken and inward your posture, the more submissive you are likely to become.

.Here are some tips to counter the problem: Keep your head up and shoulders back when looking at your phone, even if that means holding it at eye level. You can also try stretching and massaging the two muscle groups that are involved in hunching – those between the shoulder blades and the ones along the sides of the neck. This helps reduce scarring and restores elasticity.   (based on a review of a book by Amy Cuddy is a professor at Harvard Business School, “Presence: Bringing Your Boldest Self to Your Biggest Challenges.”)

My wife and I were dining in a restaurant recently.  Next to us was a table with six young Arab women.  Every single one of them had her head down looking at a cellphone during the whole meal.  They hardly spoke a word to one another, just what I took to be the odd comment on what was on their screens.  I don’t have a cellphone myself and have nothing against them – except if they monopolise her time and damage her health.

 

The price of religion?

The spectre of civil war is looming over India.  Over recent months there has been a “steady stream of lynchings” of Muslims by Hindu nationalists. These attacks are not just individual tragedies; they’re an assault on the whole notion of India as a democratic nation where people of all faiths and ethnicities mix in harmony. The Hindu chauvinists, who are stirring up resentment against Muslims and calling for them to migrate to Pakistan, should bear in mind the cautionary example of Sri Lanka. The Tamils are a small minority there, making up about the same proportion of the population as Muslims do in India. Their persecution at the hands of chauvinist Sinhalese politicians led to a civil war that drained the country of economic energy for decades. Fighting the politics that spawns lynch mobs is “a battle for India’s soul, for its gathering coherence as a national ideal for an interdependent, multicultural world, and for India’s future prosperity”.  (T.K. Arun,  The Economic Times, Mumbai)

India is becoming an international power to be reckoned with.  It manages to offer a good technical education to those with a digital bent, and its engineering graduates are in demand everywhere. The country has huge potential, but it seems there are everywhere in the world disgruntled, hate-filled people who display for all to see the ugly side of humanity (a good example is the support offered by right-wing ” christians” and Trump supporters to the violent  alt-right and neo-nazi thugs in the Charlottesville horror). All too often tribal/religious groups are a violent, backward-looking crowd, led by preachers or gurus who usually live very comforably (thank-you) on the donations of their flocks.

I’m sure there are decent, educated hindus who deplore the attacks upon moslems, and it isn’t clear whether, if one magically eliminated religion from every corner of the planet, things would change that much.  There is simply a very nasty minority of Hindus, just as there are intolerant “christians” in the West.  Hatred is not confined to any single country.  It makes the gentle thoughtfulness and consideration associated with Epicureanism  a stark contrast and all the more important.