Has anyone noticed? This is ridiculous.

Trump’s first employment report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that the economy has added 227,000 jobs.  The unemployment rate is currently  4.8 percent.  This is close to full employment.  (Yes, thank you, Obama.  Think of the mess he inherited).

So when the new Administration “supercharges” the economy with big handouts to the already super-rich, where will companies get the extra workers they are going to need?  Of the American citizens  out of work at present some have given up, some are physically unable to work, some have become druggies, but the greatest number are probably people in their late forties,  fifties or early sixties who used to work in manufacturing.  That old style of manufacturing has moved on to become much more automated and based on electronics.

Sitting at home the the older people have become effectively de-skilled and need to be trained for jobs that are needed now, not for jobs that have long gone.  How will this be done?  In other countries the government spends tons of money re-training workers, with mixed success (but at least they try).  Not in the US.  The idea is that when you are young you go to college, get a marketable skill and that will see you through life.  This is now nonsense, and needs a fast re-think.  But Republicans don’t want to raise taxes to pay for things re-training in middle age .  They don’t like paying taxes for other people’s kids to be educated, let alone older people. Betsy deVoss, the pick for Secretary of Education wants everyone in private, fee-paying, schools, so how will the financially struggling, out-of-work guys get re-trained?  Looks like stalemate.

Of course, we know the answer – immigration!  Bingo.

 

 

 

 

Who do you know who might suffer from the Dunning–Kruger effect?

The  Dunning-Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which low-ability individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly assessing their ability as much higher than it really is. The phenomenon was first observed in a series of experiments by David Dunning and Justin Kruger of the department of psychology at Cornell University in 1999.  They attributed this cognitive bias to a metacognitive incapacity on the part of those with low ability to recognize their ineptitude and evaluate their competence accurately. Their research also suggests corollaries: high-ability individuals may underestimate their relative competence and may erroneously assume that tasks which are easy for them are also easy for others.
Dunning and Kruger, in 1999, postulated that the effect is the result of internal illusion in those of low ability, and external misperception in those of high ability: “The miscalibration of the incompetent stems from an error about the self, whereas the miscalibration of the highly competent stems from an error about others.”  The study was inspired by the case of McArthur Wheeler, a man who robbed two banks after covering his face with lemon juice in the mistaken belief that, because lemon juice is usable as invisible ink, it would prevent his face from being recorded on surveillance cameras. The authors noted that earlier studies suggested that ignorance of standards of performance lies behind a great deal of incorrect self-assessment of competence.
This pattern of over-estimating competence was seen in studies of skills as diverse as reading comprehension, practicing medicine, operating a motor vehicle, and playing games such as chess and tennis. Dunning and Kruger proposed that, for a given skill, incompetent people will fail to recognise
  • their own lack of skill
  •  the extent of their inadequacy
  • fail to accurately gauge skill in others
  • acknowledge their own lack of skill only after they are exposed to training for that skill.
Philosophers and scientists have spotted the same thing, including Confucius (“Real knowledge is to know the extent of one’s ignorance”),  Bertrand Russell  (“One of the painful things about our time is that those who feel certainty are stupid, and those with any imagination and understanding are filled with doubt and indecision”), Charles Darwin  whom they quoted in their original paper (“Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge”) and Shakespeare in As You Like It (“The fool doth think he is wise, but the wise man knows himself to be a fool” .

“Managerialism” in health: the second of two posts on healthcare

On this blog we have discussed the power of the college and university administrators and the corresponding loss of power of the academics and university workers. In healthcare there has been a similar revolution, introduced under the guise of unquestioned ‘best practice’.  It is  seldom discussed or debated.

The advent of neoliberalism (or Thatcherism) in the 1980s,  a reaction against Keynesian economic policy and the welfare state, led to the importation of management practices  – managerialism – from the private to the public sectors, together with radical neo-liberal cost cutting and privatisation of social services.

Managerialism  is defined by two basic tenets: (i) that all social organisations must conform to a single structure; and (ii) that the sole regulatory principle is the market, the dominant criterion for decision making.  Other humane criteria, such as loyalty, trust and care have been  devalued and viewed as anachronisms. Instead there are formal procedures or standards, performance indicators, budget end points, efficiency markers and externally imposed targets.

With these managerialist principles and practices have come standardisation,  market-style incentives, devolved budgets and outsourcing, replacement of centralised budgeting with departmentalised “user-pays” systems, casualisation of labour, and an increasingly hierarchical approach to every aspect of institutional and social organisation.  Professional managers can be overtly hostile to the values of health care professionals and the missions of health care organizations.  Bullying has become more widespread, and individuals are given no discretion or autonomy.  Loyal long-term staff are dismissed and often humiliated, and rigorous monitoring of the performance of the remaining employees focuses on narrowly defined criteria relating to attainment of financial targets, efficiency and effectiveness.

The result of all this is that humanity has been excised from a humane profession.The result has been a shift in power from clinicians to managers and a change in emphasis from a commitment to patient care to a concern with budgetary efficiency. Increasingly, the priority is the reduction in bed stays and other formal criteria, and everything is about time and money. Older and chronically ill people become seen not as subjects of compassion, care and respect but as potential financial burdens. The system is still staffed by skilled clinicians committed to caring for the sick and needy, but it has become increasingly hard for these professionals to do their jobs as they would like.

Meanwhile, health care managers have become increasingly richly rewarded,  apparently despite,            or perhaps because of the degradation of the health care mission over which they have presided. The system threatens primary care, where doctors are allowed a small, fixed time in which to deal with the human beings in front of them.  This  interferes with doctor-patient relationships, reduces the training and education of (mostly foreign immigrant) nurses and seriously affects morale. Vulnerable patients become more vulnerable, staff turnover mounts, whistle-blowers are penalised and capital equipment, such as MRIs are overused unnecessarily to enhance income.

In short American healthcare governance lacks accountability, transparency, honesty, and ethics.   In some cases  the leadership is ill-informed, ignorant or even hostile to the health care mission and professional values.  It is incompetent, self-interested, conflicted, sometimes even corrupt.  If you change the nationality from American to Brotish, much the same observations can be made.  We are being dehumanised, desensitized and treated like numbers.   (adapted from a longer article by Roy Poses, MD, Clinical Associate Professor of Medicine at Brown University).

We are being dehumanised, desensitized and treated like machines or objects.  People worry about the mechanization of the world and the growing use of artificial intelligence and robots, but, properly programmed, these “creatures” might well prove better, more thoughtful, kinder and more thorough caregivers and administrators than the present lot of bloodless number- crunchers.

Is all this exaggerated? Do you recognise it?

Just basic good manners: No. 1 of 2 posts on healthcare

A letter arrived from a doctor telling me it was time to make an appointment for a check-up.  The problem was that the last time I saw the doctor he told me “come back in five years time” . That was exactly a year before.
But when I called I was told to hang on….and told to hang on…and told to hang on.  I tried another line – same thing.  Eventually, having wasted 20 minutes on this matter already, I spoke to a woman who told me the letter was a mistake, and that this often occurred. I wondered what would have happened had I made an appointment in good faith and spent a morning there, only to find they didn’t need me to come.  Were I a wage- earner I could have lost a morning’s wages.  I told the woman that, aside from anything else, being kept for ages on the line and being asked to stay there when no one was on duty was a waste of the customer’s precious time and shouldn’t happen.  She couldn’t have cared less.
My point is not just a rant about the American medical system, it is the lack of good manners and training.  It happens a lot in the American healthcare system.  Doctors, especially surgeons, skin doctors and those with anything to do with the digestive system, make huge sums of money, and while their technical skills are usually fine, the management-of- people bit is a bore for which they themselves are not trained, and it shows.  “The level of care for  the customer is inversely proportional to the money being made”.  (Roberts Law)
 I was brought up to empathize with others and to apologise if a mistake was made.  “I’m so sorry you have been inconvenienced.  I will draw it to the attention of my boss and we will make sure this sort of thing doesn’t happen again” – a comment like this costs nothing.  Most people understand mistakes, and make them themselves.  But to so obviously not care – and in a caring profession – is a shock for those of us who believe consideration, empathy and good manners are part and parcel of an Epicurean – or civilised – life,  and should be offerred in healthcare.

The scandal of arbitration

Over the last several years, thousands of businesses across the country — from big corporations to storefront shops— have used arbitration to create an alternative system of justice. In arbitration rules tend to favor businesses, and judges and juries have been replaced by arbitrators who commonly consider the companies their clients. The change has been swift and virtually unnoticed, even though it has meant that tens of millions of Americans have lost a fundamental right: their day in court. “This amounts to the whole-scale privatization of the justice system,” said Myriam Gilles, a law professor at the Benjamin N. Cardozo School of Law. “Americans are actively being deprived of their rights.”

In this scenario is there anything to protect the customer or the worker as well as the corporation? Of course not.  For companies, the allure of arbitration grew after a 2011 Supreme Court   ruling cleared the way for them to use the clauses to quash class-action lawsuits. Prevented from joining together as a group in arbitration, most plaintiffs gave up entirely, records show. Still, there are thousands of Americans who — either out of necessity or on principle — want their grievances heard and have taken their chances in arbitration. Little is known about arbitration because the proceedings are confidential and the federal government does not require cases to be reported. The secretive nature of the process makes it difficult to ascertain how fairly the proceedings  are conducted.  This, of course, works out splendidly for the companies involved. For the truly injured parties, not so well.

All it took was to add an arbitration clause, something that most employees and consumers do not even read. . Yet at stake are claims of medical malpractice, sexual harassment, hate crimes, discrimination, theft, fraud, elder abuse and wrongful death, records and interviews show. The family of a 94-year-old woman at a nursing home in Murrysville, Pa., who died from a head wound that had been left to fester, was ordered to go to arbitration. So was a woman in Jefferson, Ala., who sued Honda over injuries she said she sustained when the brakes on her car failed.  Just two of scores of such cases.  Some state judges have called the class-action bans a “get out of jail free” card, because it is nearly impossible for one individual to take on a corporation with vast resources.

The redoubtable Senator Warren talks about tricks and traps in the financial system –  this is what she’s talking about?

How did financial products get so dangerous? Part of the problem is that disclosure has become a way to obfuscate rather than to inform. According to the Wall Street Journal, in the early 1980s, the typical credit card contract was a page long; by the early 2000s, that contract had grown to more than 30 pages of incomprehensible text. The additional terms were not designed to make life easier for the customer. Rather, they were designed in large part to add unexpected–and unreadable–terms that favor the card companies. Mortgage-loan documents, payday-loan papers, car-loan terms, and other lending products are often equally incomprehensible. (have a look at your cellphone terms of business, printed in type size too tiny to read).  And this is not the subjective claim of the consumer advocacy movement. In a recent memo aimed at bank executives, the vice president of the business consulting firm Booz Allen Hamilton observed that most bank products are “too complex for the average consumer to understand. And this is all because, according the the daft Supreme Court (about to get very much worse) the media is owned by corporations and corporations are “people”. Do the justices have any idea what they have done?