The other day we were with some liberal-minded friends who were excoriating Prime Minister Cameron for not taking in many more Syrian refugees into the UK. Leaving aside for the moment the practical logistical problems facing the EU – the existing housing crisis, jobs and schools, the fears of culture change, and the less than stellar integration of some previous immigrants – their argument was that, along with countries like Japan, Western Europe faces an increase in the proportion of elderly people and an overall decline in population, and that this is bad for our economies.
My own feeling is that this too corporatist a point of view, that is, companies want ever-increasing populations to maintain and grow their profits. Whether there are the resources available matters less than growing numbers and, thus, sales. On the other hand, I think we should concentrate, not on gross national product but on gross national happiness (both inexact measures, I know). What is actually wrong with a static or even falling population as long as real people live in reasonable prosperity and are happy? It is the income per head that matters, and this requires jobs and a feeling of security and reasonable predictability.
Corporate interest meshes with religious teaching when it comes to population issues. Faced with a possible world population of 11.3 billion by the century’s end, we have to get used to migration, maybe massive, from Africa and the Middle East; too many babies, too little thought (and too little family planning). But can large numbers be absorbed? Will taxpayers be content to fund new homes and schools when their own needs are not being met? The British government estimates that each refugee currently costs £23,000 in benefits, education, health etc (£11,000 if they get a job) We all feel for the poor, battered and displaced Syrians and accept that many are educated, skilled and middle class, and could make contribution. But how do we handle the politics of it and why do sheer numbers of people in an economy really matter?
Your thoughts?
