The know-nothing on his way to power

A massive rise in sea level is coming, and it will trigger climate chaos around the world. That was the message from a controversial recent paper by climate scientist James Hansen. It was slated by many for assuming – rather than showing – that sea level could rise by between 1 and 5 metres by 2100.  But shortly after being formally published, it was backed up by another study concerning massive fresh water discharge to the ocean that includes factors that previous studies omitted. First, floating ice shelves around Antarctica will soon be exposed to above-zero summer air temperatures, speeding their melt, he says. Second, once the shelves are gone, the huge ice cliffs that remain will begin to collapse (Nature, DOI: 10.1038/nature17145).

The findings suggest that even if countries meet the pledges made as part of the Paris agreement, global sea level could still rise 1 metre by 2100. If emissions keep climbing it could go up more than 2 metres.  Today we’re measuring global sea level rise in millimetres per year, but there is the potential for centimetres per year just from Antarctica. (New Scientist).

We now have a climate change denier, Scott Pruitt, who, if confirmed will become head of the EPA , and a President who can’t make up his mind – also a denier until his children took him aside.

When I was last in the Florida Keys the unusual proximity of the moon had helped the tide wash away tons of sand and the water was close to lapping over the wooden jetty off the beach. This was only a periodic effect, but scary.  A metre rise in sea levels will put much of Southern Florida under water. Apparently, Pruitt thinks that two centuries- worth of burning fossil fuels has had no effect and that the CO2  magically migrates to the moon.  He probably also believes in fairies.

The right to die

The Dutch government is intending to legalise assisted suicide for people who are not terminally ill but who simply feel that their life is “complete” and wish to end it. The Netherlands was the first country to legalise euthanasia, in 2002, but the law only applied to terminally ill patients who were judged to be suffering unbearable pain. The practice has had widespread backing in Dutch society, and the number of assisted suicides has risen sharply each year: in 2015, they accounted for 5,516 deaths, 3.9% of the national total. The new law will permit assisted suicide for “elderly” people (the age threshold has not yet been specified) who “have a well-considered opinion that their life is complete” and who wish to die in a manner that is “dignified for them”. Opponents say the proposal would lead the country down a perilous ethical path, and it faces several legislative hurdles before it can become law.

I myself sometimes fantasize that at an appropriate moment I will end my life, along with my wife.  I cannot leave her behind.  We will leave impeccable Wills, along with instructions about what happens afterwards, and even a written form of funeral service so that no one has to ask what hymns we liked. I will simply specify that the audience has to sit through all the recorded music, piano, vocal and chamber, of the Hanrotts.  At least we will be original. Thus we will have lived, having bothered nobody, and in death never parted.  I bet the law will not permit it; religion will intervene. But I state it because it is how it should be.

No wonder people distrust some scientists

If you want to head off regulation arising from evidence that links your product to ill health, muddy the waters by creating the impression of a controversy where none exists.  A US study highlights this approach, suggesting the “manufacture of scientific controversy” casting doubt on the connection between sugary drinks, obesity and diabetes. Of 60 studies analysed, all 26 that failed to find a relationship had links to the sugary drinks industry. (Annals of Internal Medicine, doi.org/10/bsm8).

This comes after a September paper in JAMA claimed that the sugar industry “sponsored a research program in the 1960s and 1970s that successfully cast doubt on  the hazards of sucrose while promoting fat as the dietary culprit in coronary heart disease”.  Earlier studies confirm the influence of industry funding on science in relation to sugary drinks and nutrition research.

It’s not just the sugar industry. There is an emerging and wide-ranging literature on the extent to which science is biased by industry funding in general – including in randomised controlled trials.  In the corporate world, managing science is simply a part of wider strategies to influence government policies to protect profits. Manufacturing scientific controversy is, in other words, part of lobbying by the alcohol, tobacco and sugar industries. This includes establishing or funding seemingly independent “scientific” bodies to manage the way in which their products are regulated or debated.

To avoid the manipulation of science and the manufacture of uncertainty over the need for public health action, we need better, more effective independent regulatory bodies with budgets sufficient to monitor and enforce ethical norms and transparency.  (Based on an article by David Miller, professor of sociology at the University of Bath, UK, co-founder of the Alliance for Lobbying Transparency and author of “Impact of Market Forces on Addictive Substances and Behaviours”.  New Scientist  ow.ly/Hs60305QI6Y )

For countless centuries sugar in any form was unknown to most of the world’s population.   Once we  had it planted and harvested by slaves and mass produced  (thank you, Tate & Lyle) , the population became increasingly addicted to sugary drinks, cakes, biscuits etc until even soup now has sugar in it.  This wouldn’t matter except that sugar is scientifically and conclusively connected with obesity and diabetes, the biggest growing disease in the world, although fast food is also a co-culprit.  This cannot be dismissed as a matter of personal choice. Some people are genetically prone to be fat. But for a majority it is largely an unnecessary disease, prevented by good diet and exercise. It affects the health services and their funding all over the world, costing huge, unnecessary sums (beds, wheelchairs, aircraft seats, ambulances etc etc have to be adapted for huge weights never planned for originally).  It can  lead to the severing of limbs, a lifetime of self-injection , and early death.   We, the taxpayers should not have to pay extra for a cash-strapped health service in order to assist the sugar (or fast food) industries.  We should fight back against bogus surveys paid by industry.  They are contributing to the lack of faith in science generally, a disaster for our society.    We must be able to trust our researchers and scientists.

I am only allowed one small square of chocolate a day. Sigh!

But there is good news for chocaholics like me.  Nestlé claims to have found a way of reducing the sugar content of its chocolate by as much as 40% – without relying on artificial sweeteners. The manufacturer says that it has found a way of making “hollow” sugar particles that dissolve faster, and taste as sweet as ordinary sugar.

This is cheering after the almost endless stream of alarming and distressing news we are having to ingest. I would like to give up moderation and all the civilised virtues of Epicureanism and retire to bed and eat Nestlé chocolate for the rest of my life.  We have to have something to live for.

Deeply depressing

26% of Britons believe it can be acceptable to torture enemy combatants in order to extract information; 50% do not. 46% of Americans think torture in such cases can be acceptable; 30% oppose it. It is also condoned by 50% of Israelis, and 70% of Nigerians.   (ICRC/The Guardian)

Torture is barbaric, usually ineffective, produces an endless stream of misleading lies and half-truths, and undermines or destroys  the morale of those made to carry it out.  That is, unless it is conducted by sadistic thugs who get a thrill out of it; in which case it is even more unacceptable, if possible.

No, torture is un-Epicurean. The people taking part in the surveys were not thinking clearly.